Nouadhibou 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.4
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
52%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.4
No
46%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.5
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.77
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
12%
1/X
13%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
15%
+3.9pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.6pp
52%
Away Win
61%
-9.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
38%
+16.6pp
46%
BTTS No
62%
-16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nouadhibou EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 66%
+68% / +68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
280 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 83%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
4.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nouadhibou
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.05 xG 0.73
35% Ball Possession 65%
3 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
221 Passes 506
75% Pass Accuracy 91%
1 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 HT 2-0 Nouadhibou Nouadhibou AŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nouadhibou
0-2
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.05 xG 2.58
36% Ball Possession 64%
2 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 4
256 Passes 522
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 44
9 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nouadhibou vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns got the better of Nouadhibou 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Nouadhibou had 36% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 64%, shots finished 2-15, expected goals 0.05 to 2.58.

What was the final score of Nouadhibou vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Nouadhibou 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns in the CAF Champions League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nouadhibou vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nouadhibou 19%, draw 29%, Mamelodi Sundowns 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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