Juventud 2-2 Danubio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.9pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.3pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventud EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Danubio EU Bookmakers 42%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -19%
1.06/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.28
-6% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventud
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Danubio
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.10.2021 Danubio Danubio 0-1 HT 0-1 Juventud Juventud URU2
09.11.2019 Juventud Juventud 0-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
26.04.2015 Juventud Juventud 0-1 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventud
2-2
AWAY Danubio
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Juventud vs Danubio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventud and Danubio shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (29% / 34% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juventud had 52% of the ball to Danubio's 48%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Juventud and 0.33 for Danubio.

What was the final score of Juventud vs Danubio?

Juventud 2-2 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventud vs Danubio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Juventud 29%, draw 34%, Danubio 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Danubio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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