CA River Plate vs Defensor Sporting Prediction — Model Probabilities
CA River Plate v Defensor Sporting — Team-Based Signals
CA River Plate vs Defensor Sporting Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
CA River Plate 0-1 Defensor Sporting — Actual Match Statistics
Defensor Sporting squeezed past CA River Plate 1-0 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Defensor Sporting found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (57%) came home.
Under the surface, possession split 52% to 48% in CA River Plate's favour, shots finished 7-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for CA River Plate against 1.00 for Defensor Sporting.
CA River Plate vs Defensor Sporting Result & Final Score
CA River Plate 0 - 1 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
CA River Plate vs Defensor Sporting Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a CA River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 35%, draw 31%, Defensor Sporting 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CA River Plate) went the other way.