CA River Plate vs Defensor Sporting Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA River Plate v Defensor Sporting — Team-Based Signals
CA River Plate vs Defensor Sporting Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Defensor Sporting
URUK
0-1
HT 0-0
CA River Plate
URU
1-1
HT 0-1
Defensor Sporting
URU
CA River Plate 0-1 Defensor Sporting — Actual Match Statistics
Defensor Sporting squeezed past CA River Plate 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Defensor Sporting found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, CA River Plate had 52% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 48%, shots finished 7-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CA River Plate and 1.00 for Defensor Sporting.
What was the final score of CA River Plate vs Defensor Sporting?
CA River Plate 0-1 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs Defensor Sporting?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 37%, draw 30%, Defensor Sporting 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CA River Plate) went the other way.