Defensor Sporting vs CA River Plate Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Defensor Sporting v CA River Plate — Team-Based Signals
Defensor Sporting vs CA River Plate Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Defensor Sporting
URUK
0-1
HT 0-0
CA River Plate
URU
1-1
HT 0-1
Defensor Sporting
URU
0-4
HT 0-3
Defensor Sporting
URU
2-0
HT 1-0
CA River Plate
URUK
0-1
HT 0-1
Defensor Sporting
URU
Defensor Sporting 2-1 CA River Plate — Actual Match Statistics
Defensor Sporting edged past CA River Plate 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Defensor Sporting as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Defensor Sporting had 39% of the ball to CA River Plate's 61%, shots finished 8-16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Defensor Sporting and 0.50 for CA River Plate.
What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs CA River Plate?
Defensor Sporting 2-1 CA River Plate in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs CA River Plate?
Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 50%, draw 24%, CA River Plate 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.