Deportivo Maldonado 0-1 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.20/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.08
+0% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Cerro Largo
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
07.12.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
25.06.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
13.05.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
07.10.2022 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
15.05.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
09.10.2021 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
0-1
AWAY Cerro Largo
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Largo squeezed past Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Cerro Largo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Maldonado had 52% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 48%, shots finished 17-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Deportivo Maldonado and 0.83 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro Largo?

Deportivo Maldonado 0-1 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maldonado 36%, draw 27%, Cerro Largo 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Largo), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Largo) ✓ Under 2.5
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