Defensor Sporting vs CA River Plate Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Defensor Sporting v CA River Plate — Team-Based Signals
Defensor Sporting vs CA River Plate Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Defensor Sporting
URUK
0-1
HT 0-0
CA River Plate
URU
1-1
HT 0-1
Defensor Sporting
URU
0-4
HT 0-3
Defensor Sporting
URU
2-0
HT 1-0
CA River Plate
URUK
Defensor Sporting 0-1 CA River Plate — Actual Match Statistics
CA River Plate edged past Defensor Sporting 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Defensor Sporting at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Defensor Sporting had 65% of the ball to CA River Plate's 35%, shots finished 11-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Defensor Sporting and 0.67 for CA River Plate.
What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs CA River Plate?
Defensor Sporting 0-1 CA River Plate in the Uruguay - Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs CA River Plate?
Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 50%, draw 25%, CA River Plate 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Defensor Sporting), BTTS Yes went the other way.