Cerro Largo 0-1 Rampla Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Rampla Juniors EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.44/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.85
+0% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Largo
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Rampla Juniors
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
11.03.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-0 HT 1-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
05.10.2019 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 5-1 HT 2-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
POST-MATCH Cerro Largo vs Rampla Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rampla Juniors edged past Cerro Largo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Largo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Cerro Largo and 0.50 for Rampla Juniors.

What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Rampla Juniors?

Cerro Largo 0-1 Rampla Juniors in the Uruguay - Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Rampla Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 41%, draw 27%, Rampla Juniors 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cerro Largo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Largo) ✓ Under 2.5
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