Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
1.40/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.14
+14% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
25.10.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
20.03.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
11.11.2019 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
0-1
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montevideo Wanderers edged past Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Montevideo Wanderers made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 52% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 48%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Racing Club Montevideo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 0.50 for Montevideo Wanderers.

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 38%, draw 27%, Montevideo Wanderers 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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