Nacional de Football 4-0 Miramar Misiones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
27%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
65%
-15.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.2pp
27%
Away Win
14%
+12.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.8pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.94/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.51
+12% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional de Football
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Miramar Misiones
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
75% Ball Possession 25%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 1-2 HT 1-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
10.05.2014 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-0 HT 1-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
08.12.2013 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 1-4 HT 1-3 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional de Football
4-0
AWAY Miramar Misiones
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 1
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nacional de Football vs Miramar Misiones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football cruised past Miramar Misiones 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Nacional de Football had 64% of the ball to Miramar Misiones's 36%, shots finished 13-1.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.67 for Miramar Misiones.

What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Miramar Misiones?

Nacional de Football 4-0 Miramar Misiones in the Uruguay - Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Miramar Misiones?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 49%, draw 24%, Miramar Misiones 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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