Miramar Misiones 1-2 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
48%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+4.0pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.4pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-10.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 62%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.02/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.80
+32% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +0%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
243 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miramar Misiones
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Nacional de Football
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 10
10.05.2014 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-0 HT 1-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
08.12.2013 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 1-4 HT 1-3 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miramar Misiones
1-2
AWAY Nacional de Football
25% Ball Possession 75%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Miramar Misiones vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football squeezed past Miramar Misiones 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Miramar Misiones had 25% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 75%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Miramar Misiones and 3.50 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Miramar Misiones vs Nacional de Football?

Miramar Misiones 1-2 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miramar Misiones vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Miramar Misiones 21%, draw 31%, Nacional de Football 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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