Montevideo Wanderers 2-3 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 17 Apr 2024

Montevideo Wanderers
2-3 HT 0-1
Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
📅17/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Montevideo Wanderers vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-3.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montevideo Wanderers v Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +2%
1.00/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.87
-13% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
14.0 Crosses –
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Montevideo Wanderers vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 HT 2-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
28.02.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
27.09.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 4-0 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URUK
24.09.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
23.04.2022 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
30.10.2021 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU

Montevideo Wanderers 2-3 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
2-3
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Montevideo Wanderers vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) squeezed past Montevideo Wanderers 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 39% — and on the day Liverpool FC (Montevideo) made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 46% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 54%, shots finished 14-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 1.33 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Montevideo Wanderers 2-3 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 30%, draw 30%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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