CA River Plate vs Defensor Sporting Prediction — Model Probabilities
CA River Plate v Defensor Sporting — Team-Based Signals
CA River Plate vs Defensor Sporting Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
CA River Plate 0-1 Defensor Sporting — Actual Match Statistics
Defensor Sporting found just enough to beat CA River Plate 1-0 on the road. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Defensor Sporting as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 50% and both teams to score at 53%.
On the day, CA River Plate had 54% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 46%, shots finished 9-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CA River Plate and 1.50 for Defensor Sporting.
CA River Plate vs Defensor Sporting Result & Final Score
CA River Plate 0 - 1 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
CA River Plate vs Defensor Sporting Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 24%, draw 27%, Defensor Sporting 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.