CA River Plate vs Defensor Sporting Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA River Plate v Defensor Sporting — Team-Based Signals
CA River Plate vs Defensor Sporting Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Defensor Sporting
URUK
0-1
HT 0-0
CA River Plate
URU
1-1
HT 0-1
Defensor Sporting
URU
0-4
HT 0-3
Defensor Sporting
URU
CA River Plate 0-1 Defensor Sporting — Actual Match Statistics
Defensor Sporting edged past CA River Plate 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Defensor Sporting as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, CA River Plate had 54% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 46%, shots finished 9-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CA River Plate and 1.50 for Defensor Sporting.
What was the final score of CA River Plate vs Defensor Sporting?
CA River Plate 0-1 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs Defensor Sporting?
Before kick-off our model rated an Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 28%, draw 26%, Defensor Sporting 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.