Centro Atletico Fenix 1-3 Cerro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 17 Oct 2024

📅17/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.0pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.10/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.26
-14% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Cerro
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Cerro Cerro 0-0 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
22.02.2024 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URUK
22.10.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
17.06.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
21.03.2023 Cerro Cerro 2-0 HT 1-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
11.02.2021 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 3-3 HT 1-1 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
1-3
AWAY Cerro
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Centro Atletico Fenix vs Cerro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro beat Centro Atletico Fenix 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Centro Atletico Fenix at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Centro Atletico Fenix had 53% of the ball to Cerro's 47%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Centro Atletico Fenix and 1.17 for Cerro.

What was the final score of Centro Atletico Fenix vs Cerro?

Centro Atletico Fenix 1-3 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Centro Atletico Fenix vs Cerro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Centro Atletico Fenix win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Centro Atletico Fenix 42%, draw 25%, Cerro 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Centro Atletico Fenix) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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