Real Madriz 1-0 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 9 Feb 2026

Real Madriz
1-0 HT 1-0
Export Sebaco
📅09/02/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Nikaragua - Premier League – 2025/2026

Real Madriz vs Export Sebaco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-8.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Madriz v Export Sebaco — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madriz EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 25%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -7%
0.94/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.91
-50% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Real Madriz vs Export Sebaco Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madriz
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Export Sebaco
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 24
9 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.08.2025 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 3-0 HT 3-0 Real Madriz Real Madriz NİK
10.03.2022 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Madriz Real Madriz NİK
21.11.2021 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-3 HT 2-3 Real Madriz Real Madriz NİK
26.09.2021 Real Madriz Real Madriz 3-3 HT 1-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
POST-MATCH Real Madriz vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madriz squeezed past Export Sebaco 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Madriz as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Real Madriz and 2.25 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of Real Madriz vs Export Sebaco?

Real Madriz 1-0 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 09/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madriz vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madriz win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Real Madriz 47%, draw 24%, Export Sebaco 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madriz) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madriz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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