Guangxi Baoyun 2-0 Jiangxi Beidamen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.25
Draw
24%
5.28
Away
20%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.52
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.18 — our 26% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
76%
-19.5pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.9pp
20%
Away Win
8%
+11.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.3pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Jiangxi Beidamen EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.05/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.52
-23% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +21%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
409 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 194 · 70%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.6
20.8 Crosses 9.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangxi Baoyun
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Jiangxi Beidamen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.29 xG 0.47
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
392 Passes 203
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-1 HT 0-1 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen ÇİN2
22.07.2023 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 0-2 HT 0-1 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
27.09.2022 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 0-1 HT 0-0 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen ÇİN2
11.09.2022 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 2-2 HT 1-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Guangxi Baoyun vs Jiangxi Beidamen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Baoyun beat Jiangxi Beidamen 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guangxi Baoyun as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Guangxi Baoyun had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Guangxi Baoyun and 1.00 for Jiangxi Beidamen.

What was the final score of Guangxi Baoyun vs Jiangxi Beidamen?

Guangxi Baoyun 2-0 Jiangxi Beidamen in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangxi Baoyun vs Jiangxi Beidamen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangxi Baoyun win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Baoyun 56%, draw 24%, Jiangxi Beidamen 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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