Elgin City 1-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.75
Over 2.5
38%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.94
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
3.97
6+ Goals
8%
18.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 30% vs market 28.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-1.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
53%
+8.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
47%
-8.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.6pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.25/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.63
-6% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +112%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
3 Corners 6
06.02.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
11.11.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 2-0 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
02.09.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 5-1 HT 2-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
06.05.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 3-0 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
04.03.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 0-1 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
05.11.2022 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-3 HT 0-3 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City nicked a narrow win over Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Elgin City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Elgin City and 2.17 for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Elgin City 1-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elgin City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 42%, draw 28%, Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elgin City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elgin City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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