East Fife 3-2 Dumbarton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 9 Mar 2024

East Fife
3-2 HT 1-0
Dumbarton
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

East Fife vs Dumbarton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.49
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.42
6+ Goals
9%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 27% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.4pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

East Fife v Dumbarton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Fife EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.48/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.45
+12% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

East Fife vs Dumbarton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Fife
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Dumbarton
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
5 Corners 4
The Meetings
06.01.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-2 HT 0-1 East Fife East Fife İK2
11.11.2023 East Fife East Fife 0-1 HT 0-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
02.09.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-0 HT 0-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
22.04.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-0 HT 0-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
18.02.2023 East Fife East Fife 2-0 HT 1-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
24.12.2022 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-0 HT 1-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
POST-MATCH East Fife vs Dumbarton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Fife squeezed past Dumbarton 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; East Fife found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for East Fife and 1.00 for Dumbarton.

What was the final score of East Fife vs Dumbarton?

East Fife 3-2 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Fife vs Dumbarton?

Before kick-off our model rated a East Fife win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split East Fife 40%, draw 24%, Dumbarton 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (East Fife) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (East Fife) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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