Dumbarton 1-2 East Fife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 6 Jan 2024

Dumbarton
1-2 HT 0-1
East Fife
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Scotland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Dumbarton vs East Fife Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.51
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.6
X/1
15%
4.36
X/2
8%
7.68
X/X
13%
5.17
2/1
11%
22.6
2/2
12%
5.51
2/X
5%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dumbarton v East Fife — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY East Fife EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +5%
1.64/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.49
-10% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Dumbarton vs East Fife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
5W-0D-1L
AWAY East Fife
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
6 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
The Meetings
11.11.2023 East Fife East Fife 0-1 HT 0-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
02.09.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-0 HT 0-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
22.04.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-0 HT 0-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
18.02.2023 East Fife East Fife 2-0 HT 1-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
24.12.2022 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-0 HT 1-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
03.09.2022 East Fife East Fife 0-1 HT 0-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs East Fife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Fife nicked a narrow win over Dumbarton 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dumbarton at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dumbarton and 0.33 for East Fife.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs East Fife?

Dumbarton 1-2 East Fife in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs East Fife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 45%, draw 27%, East Fife 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dumbarton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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