Stenhousemuir 2-1 Forfar Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 6 Jan 2024

Stenhousemuir
2-1 HT 1-0
Forfar Athletic
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Scotland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Stenhousemuir vs Forfar Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.42
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.37
6+ Goals
8%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 27% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.14
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.15
X/1
13%
3.86
X/2
11%
9.55
X/X
15%
5.23
2/1
8%
23.0
2/2
12%
7.47
2/X
6%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-12.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.8pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stenhousemuir v Forfar Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +20%
1.56/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.09
-23% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +64%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Stenhousemuir vs Forfar Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Forfar Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-3 HT 1-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
05.08.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-0 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
25.03.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-1 HT 1-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
11.02.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-1 HT 1-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
10.12.2022 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-2 HT 0-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
27.08.2022 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-2 HT 0-2 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
POST-MATCH Stenhousemuir vs Forfar Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir edged past Forfar Athletic 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stenhousemuir as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stenhousemuir had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stenhousemuir and 1.00 for Forfar Athletic.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Forfar Athletic?

Stenhousemuir 2-1 Forfar Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Forfar Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 44%, draw 28%, Forfar Athletic 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stenhousemuir) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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