Elgin City 2-1 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 6 Jan 2024

Elgin City
2-1 HT 0-1
Stranraer
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Elgin City vs Stranraer Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.54
6+ Goals
12%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.49
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
11%
5.84
X/2
13%
4.85
X/X
11%
3.91
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.46
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+8.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.2pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elgin City v Stranraer — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.32/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.32
+5% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Elgin City vs Stranraer Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Stranraer
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 3-1 HT 2-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
05.08.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 0-1 HT 0-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
22.04.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 3-1 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
18.02.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 0-1 HT 0-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
08.10.2022 Stranraer Stranraer 2-3 HT 2-2 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
20.08.2022 Elgin City Elgin City 2-2 HT 2-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City nicked a narrow win over Stranraer 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Elgin City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stranraer led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Elgin City and 2.00 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs Stranraer?

Elgin City 2-1 Stranraer in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elgin City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 41%, draw 25%, Stranraer 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elgin City) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elgin City) ✗ BTTS No
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