Barcelona II 2-1 Sestao River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 9 Mar 2024

Barcelona II
2-1 HT 2-0
Sestao River
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2023/2024

Barcelona II vs Sestao River Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.77
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.22
6+ Goals
11%
20.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.5pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barcelona II v Sestao River — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona II EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestao River EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.00/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/2.14
+16% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -27%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
11.0 Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Barcelona II vs Sestao River Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sestao River
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 6
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Sestao River Sestao River 1-3 HT 0-1 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS3
POST-MATCH Barcelona II vs Sestao River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona II squeezed past Sestao River 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Barcelona II as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Barcelona II vs Sestao River?

Barcelona II 2-1 Sestao River in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona II vs Sestao River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Barcelona II 50%, draw 25%, Sestao River 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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