Rayo Majadahonda 1-1 Real Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.01
6+ Goals
7%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Majadahonda EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Union EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
1.15/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.17
+3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Majadahonda
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Union
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.09.2023 Real Union Real Union 4-0 HT 2-0 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda İS3
01.05.2022 Real Union Real Union 1-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda İS3
03.10.2021 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Union Real Union İS3
16.12.2015 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda 2-1 HT 2-1 Real Union Real Union İSPFK
02.12.2015 Real Union Real Union 0-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda İSPFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Majadahonda
1-1
AWAY Real Union
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Majadahonda and Real Union couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rayo Majadahonda had 54% of the ball to Real Union's 46%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Rayo Majadahonda and 1.20 for Real Union.

What was the final score of Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Union?

Rayo Majadahonda 1-1 Real Union in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Majadahonda win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rayo Majadahonda 37%, draw 30%, Real Union 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rayo Majadahonda), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rayo Majadahonda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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