Juventus (K) 1-3 Fiorentina (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Women's Cup, 9 Mar 2024

Juventus (K)
1-3 HT 1-2
Fiorentina (K)
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Women's Cup – 2023/2024

Juventus (K) vs Fiorentina (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.82
Draw
20%
3.28
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
51%
+4.5pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.6pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Juventus (K) v Fiorentina (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus (K) EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Juventus (K) vs Fiorentina (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.63 xG 1.15
68% Ball Possession 32%
24 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
488 Passes 184
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
44 Box Touches 21
32 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.01.2024 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 2-2 HT 1-2 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
POST-MATCH Juventus (K) vs Fiorentina (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina (K) saw off Juventus (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Juventus (K) carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Juventus (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Juventus (K) 1-3 Fiorentina (K) in the Italy - Women's Cup on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Juventus (K) 56%, draw 21%, Fiorentina (K) 24%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Juventus (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →