Luckenwalde 1-2 Babelsberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+9.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.9pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-5.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.5pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.68/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.97
+21% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +43%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luckenwalde
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Babelsberg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2023 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-2 HT 0-2 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
26.02.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 3-1 HT 3-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
09.09.2022 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-1 HT 1-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
13.02.2022 Babelsberg Babelsberg 2-1 HT 1-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
17.08.2021 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 0-0 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
26.08.2020 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-3 HT 1-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Luckenwalde vs Babelsberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babelsberg edged past Luckenwalde 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Luckenwalde at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luckenwalde had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Luckenwalde and 1.00 for Babelsberg.

What was the final score of Luckenwalde vs Babelsberg?

Luckenwalde 1-2 Babelsberg in the Germany - Regional League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luckenwalde vs Babelsberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luckenwalde win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Luckenwalde 41%, draw 24%, Babelsberg 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Luckenwalde) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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