Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 1-1 Rot Weiss Ahlen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Mar 2024

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
1-1 HT 1-0
Rot Weiss Ahlen
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Rot Weiss Ahlen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.63
Over 2.5
53%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
66%
-17.3pp
27%
Draw
18%
+8.1pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
34%
+12.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
66%
-12.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen v Rot Weiss Ahlen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Oberhausen EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot Weiss Ahlen EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.89/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.96
-12% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
383 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Rot Weiss Ahlen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Rot Weiss Ahlen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen 0-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
23.04.2023 Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen 0-3 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
29.10.2022 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 2-3 HT 1-1 Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen ALMBÖL
05.03.2022 Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen 0-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
25.09.2021 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 4-0 HT 1-0 Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen ALMBÖL
24.04.2021 Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen 1-1 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 1-1 Rot Weiss Ahlen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
1-1
AWAY Rot Weiss Ahlen
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Rot Weiss Ahlen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen and Rot Weiss Ahlen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Rot-Weiss Oberhausen at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen had 68% of the ball to Rot Weiss Ahlen's 32%, shots finished 14-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen and 0.67 for Rot Weiss Ahlen.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Rot Weiss Ahlen?

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 1-1 Rot Weiss Ahlen in the Germany - Regional League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Rot Weiss Ahlen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Oberhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 49%, draw 27%, Rot Weiss Ahlen 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rot-Weiss Oberhausen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Oberhausen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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