CA Sarmiento vs Estudiantes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA Sarmiento v Estudiantes — Team-Based Signals
CA Sarmiento vs Estudiantes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
CA Sarmiento
ARJ
1-1
HT 0-0
CA Sarmiento
ARJ
2-1
HT 1-0
CA Sarmiento
ARJ
0-3
HT 0-0
Estudiantes
ARJ
1-0
HT 1-0
CA Sarmiento
ARJ
0-1
HT 0-0
Estudiantes
ARJ
CA Sarmiento 3-1 Estudiantes — Actual Match Statistics
CA Sarmiento got the better of Estudiantes 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (31% / 33% / 36%) promised a tight game; CA Sarmiento found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, CA Sarmiento had 47% of the ball to Estudiantes's 53%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.18 to 0.55.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CA Sarmiento and 1.67 for Estudiantes.
What was the final score of CA Sarmiento vs Estudiantes?
CA Sarmiento 3-1 Estudiantes in the Argentina - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA Sarmiento vs Estudiantes?
Before kick-off our model rated an Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split CA Sarmiento 31%, draw 33%, Estudiantes 36%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.