Gimnasia La Plata 2-0 Barracas Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.65
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.14
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.15
X/1
16%
4.51
X/2
12%
6.38
X/X
10%
4.0
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
12%
5.09
2/X
11%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.37/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.25
+6% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +102%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
247 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 70%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
23.9 Crosses 15.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Barracas Central
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.61 xG 1.55
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
184 Passes 235
62% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-2 HT 0-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
27.02.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
29.09.2022 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-1 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
2-0
AWAY Barracas Central
1.61 xG 0.49
49% Ball Possession 51%
26 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
279 Passes 286
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gimnasia La Plata vs Barracas Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia La Plata got the better of Barracas Central 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gimnasia La Plata as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gimnasia La Plata had 49% of the ball to Barracas Central's 51%, shots finished 26-6, expected goals 1.61 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gimnasia La Plata and 1.00 for Barracas Central.

What was the final score of Gimnasia La Plata vs Barracas Central?

Gimnasia La Plata 2-0 Barracas Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia La Plata vs Barracas Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia La Plata win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia La Plata 41%, draw 30%, Barracas Central 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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