09/03/2024
·
11:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Ipswich vs Capalaba Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
47%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
48%
Home Win
37%
20%
Draw
26%
32%
Away Win
37%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ipswich v Capalaba — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ipswich
The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Capalaba
The Market 40%
-55% /
-55%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-100%
/
-67%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
13
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
261 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
299 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Ipswich vs Capalaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ipswich edged past Capalaba 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Ipswich as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
What was the final score of Ipswich vs Capalaba?
Ipswich 2-1 Capalaba in the Australia - Queensland Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ipswich vs Capalaba?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ipswich win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ipswich 48%, draw 20%, Capalaba 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ipswich) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Ipswich)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
AUSQPL
More Australia - Queensland Premier League
9 Mar 2024