Canberra United (K) 1-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 9 Mar 2024

Canberra United (K)
1-1 HT 0-0
W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2023/2024

Canberra United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
45%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
45%
Away Win
39%
+6.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.5pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Canberra United (K) v W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
2.51/3.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+92% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
– Crosses 16.0
– Yellow Cards 0.0

Canberra United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra United (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.38 xG 1.91
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 5
216 Passes 262
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
26.12.2019 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
07.12.2018 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 2-2 HT 0-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW

Canberra United (K) 1-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Canberra United (K)
1-1
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1.47 xG 2.89
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
219 Passes 243
64% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Canberra United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra United (K) and W. Sydney Wanderers (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was W. Sydney Wanderers (K) at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Canberra United (K) had 49% of the ball to W. Sydney Wanderers (K)'s 51%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 1.47 to 2.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Canberra United (K) and 3.00 for W. Sydney Wanderers (K).

What was the final score of Canberra United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Canberra United (K) 1-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) in the Australia - W-League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an W. Sydney Wanderers (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Canberra United (K) 32%, draw 23%, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (W. Sydney Wanderers (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (W. Sydney Wanderers (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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