LASK Linz 0-1 Salzburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 9 Mar 2024

LASK Linz
0-1 HT 0-1
Salzburg
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Austria - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

LASK Linz vs Salzburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
15.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.79
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
6%
14.7
X/1
6%
7.52
X/2
17%
4.24
X/X
12%
4.71
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.61
2/X
8%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

LASK Linz v Salzburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Salzburg EU Bookmakers 52%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.47/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.17
-1% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +41%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
255 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 74%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
18.0 Crosses 16.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

LASK Linz vs Salzburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LASK Linz
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Salzburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.04 xG 1.74
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
263 Passes 287
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.02.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-3 HT 1-2 Salzburg Salzburg AUK
21.10.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 0-1 HT 0-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
14.05.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-1 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
16.04.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 0-0 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
12.03.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-2 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
01.10.2022 Salzburg Salzburg 1-1 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU

LASK Linz 0-1 Salzburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LASK Linz
0-1
AWAY Salzburg
1.65 xG 2.13
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
318 Passes 194
74% Pass Accuracy 63%
27 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH LASK Linz vs Salzburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg edged past LASK Linz 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, LASK Linz had 58% of the ball to Salzburg's 42%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.65 to 2.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for LASK Linz and 1.17 for Salzburg.

What was the final score of LASK Linz vs Salzburg?

LASK Linz 0-1 Salzburg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LASK Linz vs Salzburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split LASK Linz 26%, draw 26%, Salzburg 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ BTTS No
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