Sabah 2-1 Qabala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 9 Mar 2024

Sabah
2-1 HT 2-1
Qabala
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2023/2024

Sabah vs Qabala Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.95
Over 2.5
41%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-7.5pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.2pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+1.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sabah v Qabala — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Qabala EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
2.33/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.03
+15% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Sabah vs Qabala Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Qabala
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
22.12.2023 Qabala Qabala 1-0 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
06.08.2023 Sabah Sabah 5-0 HT 3-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
02.04.2023 Sabah Sabah 3-2 HT 1-2 Qabala Qabala AZERS
01.02.2023 Qabala Qabala 0-3 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
30.10.2022 Sabah Sabah 2-1 HT 0-1 Qabala Qabala AZERS
28.08.2022 Qabala Qabala 0-2 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Qabala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah edged past Qabala 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sabah as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sabah and 0.67 for Qabala.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Qabala?

Sabah 2-1 Qabala in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Qabala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sabah 53%, draw 29%, Qabala 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sabah) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sabah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
9 Mar 2024
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