Al Ahli Manama 1-1 Muharraq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Copa del Rey, 9 Mar 2024

Al Ahli Manama
1-1 HT 1-0
Muharraq
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Bahrain - Copa del Rey – 2023/2024

Al Ahli Manama vs Muharraq Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.98
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.91
6+ Goals
11%
17.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-1.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ahli Manama v Muharraq — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Muharraq EU Bookmakers 46%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -64% / -64%
2.10/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+150% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -69%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
272 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0

Al Ahli Manama vs Muharraq Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Manama
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Muharraq
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.01.2024 Muharraq Muharraq 3-1 HT 3-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAHK
23.10.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
03.05.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
23.01.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
14.03.2022 Muharraq Muharraq 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
18.12.2021 Muharraq Muharraq 4-0 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH

Al Ahli Manama 1-1 Muharraq — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Manama
1-1
AWAY Muharraq
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Manama vs Muharraq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Manama and Muharraq shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Ahli Manama had 43% of the ball to Muharraq's 57%, shots finished 8-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Muharraq led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Ahli Manama and 1.67 for Muharraq.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Manama vs Muharraq?

Al Ahli Manama 1-1 Muharraq in the Bahrain - Copa del Rey on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Manama vs Muharraq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Manama 33%, draw 27%, Muharraq 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Muharraq) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Muharraq) ✓ Under 2.5
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