KV Oostende 0-1 Dender EH — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.58
6+ Goals
8%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 30% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
14%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KV Oostende EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Dender EH EU Bookmakers 48%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.48/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.01
-100% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
23.0 Crosses 17.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KV Oostende
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Dender EH
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.97 xG 2.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
280 Passes 353
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 5
22.10.2023 Dender EH Dender EH 1-1 HT 1-0 KV Oostende KV Oostende BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KV Oostende
0-1
AWAY Dender EH
0.16 xG 0.54
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
271 Passes 254
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KV Oostende vs Dender EH
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dender EH edged past KV Oostende 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dender EH as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, KV Oostende had 52% of the ball to Dender EH's 48%, shots finished 4-7, expected goals 0.16 to 0.54.

What was the final score of KV Oostende vs Dender EH?

KV Oostende 0-1 Dender EH in the Belgium - 1st Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KV Oostende vs Dender EH?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dender EH win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split KV Oostende 32%, draw 27%, Dender EH 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dender EH), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dender EH) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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