RFC Seraing 1-2 Waasland-Beveren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
46%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
7.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+6.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-8.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 59%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.12/2.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.27
+7% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +0%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
257 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
14.6 Crosses 21.1
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Seraing
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.69 xG 1.11
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 Passes 305
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.08.2023 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 1-1 HT 0-1 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
08.05.2021 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-5 HT 1-2 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BELP
01.05.2021 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 1-1 HT 0-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BELP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Seraing
1-2
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
1.01 xG 2.29
38% Ball Possession 62%
18 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
230 Passes 436
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 17
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RFC Seraing vs Waasland-Beveren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waasland-Beveren squeezed past RFC Seraing 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Waasland-Beveren as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, RFC Seraing had 38% of the ball to Waasland-Beveren's 62%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.01 to 2.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Waasland-Beveren's control.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, RFC Seraing had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for RFC Seraing and 1.33 for Waasland-Beveren.

What was the final score of RFC Seraing vs Waasland-Beveren?

RFC Seraing 1-2 Waasland-Beveren in the Belgium - 1st Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Seraing vs Waasland-Beveren?

Before kick-off our model rated an Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split RFC Seraing 29%, draw 25%, Waasland-Beveren 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waasland-Beveren), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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