09/03/2024
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-1
RB Bragantino II vs Sao Caetano Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
51%
4-5
11%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
34%
Home Win
27%
29%
Draw
30%
38%
Away Win
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
RB Bragantino II v Sao Caetano — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
RB Bragantino II
The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sao Caetano
The Market 46%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
47%
Ball Possession
53%
12
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
6
257 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
332 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
RB Bragantino II vs Sao Caetano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
RB Bragantino II edged past Sao Caetano 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 38% — and on the day RB Bragantino II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
What was the final score of RB Bragantino II vs Sao Caetano?
RB Bragantino II 1-0 Sao Caetano in the Brazil - Paulista A3 on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for RB Bragantino II vs Sao Caetano?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sao Caetano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split RB Bragantino II 34%, draw 29%, Sao Caetano 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sao Caetano) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Sao Caetano)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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