09/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-0
ES Ben Aknoun vs ASM Oran Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
69%
26%
Draw
20%
14%
Away Win
11%
50%
Under 2.5
51%
50%
Over 2.5
49%
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
50%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ES Ben Aknoun v ASM Oran — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
ES Ben Aknoun
EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY
ASM Oran
EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-21% /
-21%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+57%
/
-44%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
371 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
264 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
ES Ben Aknoun vs ASM Oran Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
ES Ben Aknoun
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
ASM Oran
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
08.01.2022
ES Ben Aknoun
1-1
ASM Oran
CZYR2
1-1
ASM Oran
CZYR2
POST-MATCH
ES Ben Aknoun vs ASM Oran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
ES Ben Aknoun cruised past ASM Oran 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had ES Ben Aknoun as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of ES Ben Aknoun vs ASM Oran?
ES Ben Aknoun 3-0 ASM Oran in the Algeria - National Cup on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ES Ben Aknoun vs ASM Oran?
Before kick-off our model rated a ES Ben Aknoun win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split ES Ben Aknoun 60%, draw 26%, ASM Oran 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Ben Aknoun) — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (ES Ben Aknoun)
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CZYRK
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