US Chaouia 1-1 RC Bougaa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - National Cup, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.75
No
59%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-15.7pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.6pp
21%
Away Win
10%
+11.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
32%
+8.6pp
59%
BTTS No
68%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Chaouia EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Bougaa EU Bookmakers 12%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-20% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH US Chaouia vs RC Bougaa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Chaouia and RC Bougaa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had US Chaouia at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

What was the final score of US Chaouia vs RC Bougaa?

US Chaouia 1-1 RC Bougaa in the Algeria - National Cup on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Chaouia vs RC Bougaa?

Before kick-off our model rated a US Chaouia win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split US Chaouia 56%, draw 24%, RC Bougaa 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (US Chaouia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (US Chaouia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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