Emelec vs Mushuc Runa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Emelec v Mushuc Runa — Team-Based Signals
Emelec vs Mushuc Runa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Emelec
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Emelec
EKV1
4-0
HT 2-0
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
2-0
HT 1-0
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
1-2
HT 0-1
Emelec
EKV1
Emelec 0-0 Mushuc Runa — Actual Match Statistics
Emelec and Mushuc Runa fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Emelec at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Emelec had 64% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 36%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.12 to 0.57.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emelec had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Emelec and 0.33 for Mushuc Runa.
What was the final score of Emelec vs Mushuc Runa?
Emelec 0-0 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Emelec vs Mushuc Runa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Emelec win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Emelec 57%, draw 26%, Mushuc Runa 16%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Emelec) went the other way.