Ethiopian Insurance 0-2 Fasil Ketema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.3pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.9pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.1pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
0-2
AWAY Fasil Ketema
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ethiopian Insurance vs Fasil Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fasil Ketema saw off Ethiopian Insurance 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fasil Ketema as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Ethiopian Insurance had 46% of the ball to Fasil Ketema's 54%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Ethiopian Insurance vs Fasil Ketema?

Ethiopian Insurance 0-2 Fasil Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopian Insurance vs Fasil Ketema?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fasil Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ethiopian Insurance 29%, draw 26%, Fasil Ketema 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fasil Ketema), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fasil Ketema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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