Kedus Giorgis 3-1 Hambericho Durame — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.3
Draw
33%
4.62
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.75
No
55%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
73%
-19.7pp
33%
Draw
19%
+14.1pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+5.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
32%
+13.3pp
55%
BTTS No
68%
-13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Hambericho Durame EU Bookmakers 11%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.89/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+62% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +53%
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
503 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 147 · 62%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kedus Giorgis
3-1
AWAY Hambericho Durame
67% Ball Possession 33%
10 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kedus Giorgis vs Hambericho Durame
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kedus Giorgis got the better of Hambericho Durame 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kedus Giorgis as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kedus Giorgis had 67% of the ball to Hambericho Durame's 33%, shots finished 10-3.

What was the final score of Kedus Giorgis vs Hambericho Durame?

Kedus Giorgis 3-1 Hambericho Durame in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kedus Giorgis vs Hambericho Durame?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kedus Giorgis win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kedus Giorgis 53%, draw 33%, Hambericho Durame 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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