Maghreb Fes 2-1 Ittihad Tanger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.96
6+ Goals
10%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-8.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+9.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maghreb Fes EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Ittihad Tanger EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.25/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.50
-9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maghreb Fes
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ittihad Tanger
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 2-2 HT 1-1 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
08.04.2023 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 0-1 HT 0-0 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
10.02.2023 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 0-2 HT 0-1 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FASK
28.10.2022 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 2-3 HT 1-1 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
29.06.2022 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 1-1 HT 0-1 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
25.12.2021 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 2-1 HT 1-1 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maghreb Fes
2-1
AWAY Ittihad Tanger
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Maghreb Fes vs Ittihad Tanger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maghreb Fes nicked a narrow win over Ittihad Tanger 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maghreb Fes as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Maghreb Fes had 46% of the ball to Ittihad Tanger's 54%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Maghreb Fes and 1.50 for Ittihad Tanger.

What was the final score of Maghreb Fes vs Ittihad Tanger?

Maghreb Fes 2-1 Ittihad Tanger in the Morocco - League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maghreb Fes vs Ittihad Tanger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maghreb Fes win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Maghreb Fes 42%, draw 26%, Ittihad Tanger 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maghreb Fes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maghreb Fes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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