Olympic Safi 3-1 Mouloudia Oujda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.5
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.76
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.0pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympic Safi EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Mouloudia Oujda EU Bookmakers 17%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -1%
1.22/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.06
-23% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +28%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
431 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympic Safi
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Mouloudia Oujda
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda 1-1 HT 0-1 Olympic Safi Olympic Safi FAS
04.04.2023 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda 0-1 HT 0-0 Olympic Safi Olympic Safi FAS
14.10.2022 Olympic Safi Olympic Safi 1-2 HT 1-1 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS
20.02.2022 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda 3-1 HT 0-1 Olympic Safi Olympic Safi FAS
25.09.2021 Olympic Safi Olympic Safi 1-1 HT 0-0 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS
28.07.2021 Olympic Safi Olympic Safi 0-0 HT 0-0 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympic Safi
3-1
AWAY Mouloudia Oujda
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olympic Safi vs Mouloudia Oujda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympic Safi saw off Mouloudia Oujda 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Olympic Safi as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olympic Safi had 49% of the ball to Mouloudia Oujda's 51%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mouloudia Oujda led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Olympic Safi and 1.17 for Mouloudia Oujda.

What was the final score of Olympic Safi vs Mouloudia Oujda?

Olympic Safi 3-1 Mouloudia Oujda in the Morocco - League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympic Safi vs Mouloudia Oujda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympic Safi win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Olympic Safi 55%, draw 25%, Mouloudia Oujda 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympic Safi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olympic Safi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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