Lorient vs Lyon Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lorient v Lyon — Team-Based Signals
Lorient vs Lyon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 3-1
Lorient
FR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Lorient
FR1
3-1
HT 2-1
Lyon
FR1
1-4
HT 0-2
Lyon
FR1
1-1
HT 0-1
Lorient
FR1
4-1
HT 0-0
Lorient
FR1
Lorient 0-2 Lyon — Actual Match Statistics
Lyon beat Lorient 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Lyon as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Lorient had 48% of the ball to Lyon's 52%, shots finished 9-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyon led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lorient and 2.17 for Lyon.
What was the final score of Lorient vs Lyon?
Lorient 0-2 Lyon in the France - Ligue 1 on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lorient vs Lyon?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lorient 32%, draw 26%, Lyon 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.