Barry Town 1-1 Colwyn Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.24
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.0
6+ Goals
15%
9.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+2.7pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.5pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.9pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barry Town EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.48/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.64
-8% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +123%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
386 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barry Town
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Colwyn Bay
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 2-0 HT 2-0 Barry Town Barry Town GALWK
28.10.2023 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 0-1 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
19.08.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barry Town
1-1
AWAY Colwyn Bay
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Barry Town vs Colwyn Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barry Town and Colwyn Bay couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Barry Town at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Barry Town had 52% of the ball to Colwyn Bay's 48%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Barry Town and 1.00 for Colwyn Bay.

What was the final score of Barry Town vs Colwyn Bay?

Barry Town 1-1 Colwyn Bay in the Wales - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barry Town vs Colwyn Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barry Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Barry Town 50%, draw 20%, Colwyn Bay 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barry Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barry Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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