Newtown 2-0 Cardiff MU — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.29
6+ Goals
14%
11.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newtown EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.79/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.50
+18% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newtown
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cardiff MU
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.10.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-1 HT 0-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
01.09.2023 Newtown Newtown 2-1 HT 2-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
15.04.2023 Newtown Newtown 1-2 HT 0-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
10.03.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-0 HT 0-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
22.12.2022 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-1 HT 1-1 Newtown Newtown GAL
22.10.2022 Newtown Newtown 0-1 HT 0-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
POST-MATCH Newtown vs Cardiff MU
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newtown got the better of Cardiff MU 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Newtown as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff MU led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Newtown and 1.33 for Cardiff MU.

What was the final score of Newtown vs Cardiff MU?

Newtown 2-0 Cardiff MU in the Wales - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newtown vs Cardiff MU?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newtown win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Newtown 47%, draw 23%, Cardiff MU 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newtown) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newtown) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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