HNK Gorica 0-3 Hajduk Split — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.34
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
51%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.6
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.53
6+ Goals
7%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+7.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
51%
Away Win
60%
-9.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.9pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 64%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
0.81/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.79
+12% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -20%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
230 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 83%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
13.0 Crosses 17.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Gorica
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Hajduk Split
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.83 xG 1.61
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
254 Passes 381
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.12.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 3-0 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
17.09.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 2-1 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
26.04.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-0 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
19.02.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-1 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
26.10.2022 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 3-1 HT 1-1 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
15.10.2022 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-1 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Gorica
0-3
AWAY Hajduk Split
0.49 xG 1.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
371 Passes 507
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH HNK Gorica vs Hajduk Split
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split swept aside HNK Gorica 3-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HNK Gorica had 44% of the ball to Hajduk Split's 56%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.49 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for HNK Gorica and 1.67 for Hajduk Split.

What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Hajduk Split?

HNK Gorica 0-3 Hajduk Split in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs Hajduk Split?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 24%, draw 26%, Hajduk Split 51%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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