Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-0 Rudes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 9 Mar 2024

Lokomotiva Zagreb
3-0 HT 0-0
Rudes
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2023/2024

Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rudes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
15.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 31% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-8.5pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.4pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+3.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+9.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-9.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lokomotiva Zagreb v Rudes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Rudes EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -14%
1.25/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.01
-25% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -80% / -13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
20.4 Crosses 10.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rudes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Rudes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
0.84 xG 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
358 Passes 262
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Rudes Rudes 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
15.09.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 HT 1-0 Rudes Rudes HIR
20.04.2019 Rudes Rudes 1-2 HT 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
15.02.2019 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 Rudes Rudes HIR
26.10.2018 Rudes Rudes 0-4 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
11.08.2018 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Rudes Rudes HIR

Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-0 Rudes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
3-0
AWAY Rudes
1.49 xG 0.70
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
371 Passes 274
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
39 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rudes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb swept aside Rudes 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lokomotiva Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 55% of the ball to Rudes's 45%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.49 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiva Zagreb had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 0.17 for Rudes.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rudes?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-0 Rudes in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rudes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 56%, draw 27%, Rudes 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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