HHC Hardenberg 1-0 Excelsior Maassluis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
31%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.4pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.3pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+9.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.1pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HHC Hardenberg EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 17%
-72% / -72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
3.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/3.02
+77% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -46%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
417 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HHC Hardenberg
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
19.08.2023 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 0-1 HT 0-0 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HHC Hardenberg
1-0
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HHC Hardenberg vs Excelsior Maassluis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HHC Hardenberg edged past Excelsior Maassluis 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had HHC Hardenberg as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HHC Hardenberg had 61% of the ball to Excelsior Maassluis's 39%, shots finished 14-3.

What was the final score of HHC Hardenberg vs Excelsior Maassluis?

HHC Hardenberg 1-0 Excelsior Maassluis in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HHC Hardenberg vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Before kick-off our model rated a HHC Hardenberg win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split HHC Hardenberg 54%, draw 23%, Excelsior Maassluis 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HHC Hardenberg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HHC Hardenberg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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HOLTW More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
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