Koninklijke HFC 2-0 Katwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
51%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.4pp
51%
Away Win
49%
+2.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koninklijke HFC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Katwijk EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +57%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koninklijke HFC
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Katwijk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.60 xG 0.80
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
148 Passes 334
58% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 30
8 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.01.2019 Katwijk Katwijk 0-1 HT 0-1 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
19.05.2018 Katwijk Katwijk 1-2 HT 1-1 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koninklijke HFC
2-0
AWAY Katwijk
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Koninklijke HFC vs Katwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koninklijke HFC saw off Katwijk 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Katwijk at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Koninklijke HFC had 49% of the ball to Katwijk's 51%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Koninklijke HFC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Koninklijke HFC and 0.50 for Katwijk.

What was the final score of Koninklijke HFC vs Katwijk?

Koninklijke HFC 2-0 Katwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koninklijke HFC vs Katwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Koninklijke HFC 28%, draw 21%, Katwijk 51%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Katwijk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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