Kitchee 2-0 Hong Kong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - FA Cup, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.33
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
47%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
39%
-11.5pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.9pp
47%
Away Win
30%
+16.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kitchee EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Hong Kong FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kitchee
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Hong Kong FC
4.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
72% Ball Possession 28%
23 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 1-3 HT 1-2 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
27.08.2023 Kitchee Kitchee 8-0 HT 6-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
26.02.2023 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
14.01.2023 Kitchee Kitchee 5-0 HT 3-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
26.03.2014 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 0-5 HT 0-2 Kitchee Kitchee HONFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kitchee
2-0
AWAY Hong Kong FC
74% Ball Possession 26%
14 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Kitchee vs Hong Kong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitchee got the better of Hong Kong FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hong Kong FC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kitchee had 74% of the ball to Hong Kong FC's 26%, shots finished 14-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kitchee had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 4.80 goals for Kitchee and 0.20 for Hong Kong FC.

What was the final score of Kitchee vs Hong Kong FC?

Kitchee 2-0 Hong Kong FC in the Hong Kong - FA Cup on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kitchee vs Hong Kong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hong Kong FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kitchee 28%, draw 25%, Hong Kong FC 47%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hong Kong FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hong Kong FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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